Submitted by Pater Tenebrarum – The Acting Man Blog
Another Bad Hair Day
At the beginning of the week, it looked like a rebound in stocks might get underway – and why not? After all, the market is a bit oversold by now. In fact, a number of indexes are oversold quite a bit. But then came Wednesday, and turned into another bad hair day – a really bad one.
A surprised market participant joins the stock market in having a bad hair day.
Photo via pinterest.com
Needless to say, this remains highly unusual market behavior for early January. And this week is an options expiration week to boot, which reminds us that the warning shot in August also happened during an expiration week (plus the Monday following the expiration).
Probably because it is early January and this market behavior is so unusual, there is no real sense of fear yet. There are certainly many scary headlines and bears are becoming increasingly more vocal. For instance, famous bear Albert Edwards of Soc-Gen has just decided he needs to lower his target…quite a bit. In a noteworthy similarity to us, his timing is occasionally off by a few years, but he also has a disconcerting habit of being vindicated at some point down the road.
Said “some point” may be in the process of arriving. On the other hand, there are also still many true believers going on about imminent v-shaped recoveries. In fact, it feels like there are still way too many of those. We note in the meantime that the downside leaders continue to lead to the downside – here are three of them: